2023 Season – Game 12 – Dolphins @ Commanders

Our 8-3 AFC East Division leaders travel to Washington this week to take on the 4-8 Washington Commanders. Yeah, still hard not to think Redskins, but it is what it is. The Commanders defense is dead last in the NFL, 32 of 32 allowing 29.2 points per game. This bodes well for our team, which is scoring 30.8 points per game.The bright spot for the Commanders is they appear to have a QB, potentially a franchise QB. Although his play has been uneven, QB Sam Howell has thrown for 3339 yards, 18 TD’s and 13 INT’s. That’s 162 more yards passing than our own Tua Tagovailoa for Howell, in his rookie season no less. Howell is also completing 66.5% of his passes, just a shade less than Tua at 69.8%. This is an opportunity for our offense to get back on track, but also a chance for our defense to continue to show that this is one of the top units in the NFL as we get closer to the playoffs.

It was a crushing blow last week when OLB Jaelan Phillips season ended after a non contact achilles injury. He was playing at a very high level, equal to the amount of hype he received before the season. Now, the forgotten man in this defense, DE/LB Emmanuel Ogbah moves very much to the forefront. Of course AVG, Andrew Van Ginkel will probably see more snaps now at OLB, Ogbah will most certainly see a lot more snaps than he has all season. The good thing is, Ogbah has fresh legs, and is completely healthy, playing nearly a 1/3 of the snaps this season (21%) compared to the usual 65-77% of the snaps in other years. Besides the pass rush, one thing that directly affects the pass rush is the pass coverage. Right now, our defense couldn’t be any better, with a healthy CB Xavien Howard on the left side and the scalding hot CB Jalen Ramsey on the right. Safeties Jevon Holland and DeShon Elliot round out this excellent secondary. Holland, of course, had the amazing “Hell Mary” 99 yard TD interception return on the last play of the first half against the NY Jets.

It seems as if we may be getting some players back on the offensive side, as RG Robert Hunt looks like he may be ready to play, although he may be on a snap count. It seems as if the entire team logged a LIMITED practice session yesterday, and it’s impossible to tell if that’s just precautionary, like injury maintenance or if that’s the best those injured players could manage. RB De’Von Achane looks like he’s going to be QUESTIONABLE unless he manages to get in a FULL practice today. The same goes for Raheem Mostert, although we’ve seen Mostert with the QUESTIONABLE designation for weeks and he still manages 20 + touches on offense. C Connor Williams returned last week and should be good to go this week as well. RG Liam Eichenberg played very well against a tough NY defensive front and if Hunt can’t go, I won’t be too concerned since Eichenberg is handling the job sufficiently. Hunt, incidentally, did suit up for the Jets game but did not play.

The Dolphins are now a 1/2 game behind the Baltimore Ravens who are 9-3 but have their BYE week this week. We’re ties with both Jacksonville Jaguars, and the Kansas City Chiefs, but we are currently the #4 seed in the AFC. We must win this week to continue to stay near the top of the conference. Nothing will help this team more than to play as many playoff games in our house as possible, considering besides the Eagles and the Cowboys who are in the NFC, we’re the only undefeated AFC team at home. Home is where we play our best football. On offense, we’re not a physical team, although we can and have run the ball well. We’re actually #2 in the NFL in rushing behind the Ravens, this despite the fact that we have nearly 100 less rushing attempts, 390 rushes for 1903 yards (4.9 YPC) for the Ravens while we have 292 rushes for 1597 yards (5.5 YPC). The Ravens are just a more physical team, they run the ball more, and their QB is a huge reason. Yes, they have a big, imposing RB in RB Gus Edwards, who has 590 yards on 141 rushes for 4.2 yards per carry. He’s a grinder, but the Ravens second leading rusher is their QB Lamar Jackson. Jackson has 574 yards rushing this season, but the Ravens alos have a weapon very similar to our own De’Von Achane, RB Keaton Mitchell. Mitchell is also a TD waiting to happen, he’s averaging 9.3 yards per carry, 29 carries for 269 yards and 2 TD’s rushing. De’Von Achane, for comparison has 39 carries for 461 yards and 5 TD’s rushing and Achane also has 2 TD’s receiving. The big question is though, do we see a healthy and productive Achane again this season or does he get shut down? In addition, we play the Ravens New Year’s Eve day in Week 17, and I believe that game will tell us an awful lot about our team going forward into the playoffs.

The Dolphins are the biggest road team favorites in the NFL this week, a hearty 9.5 point favorite. I don’t mention this because I’m a betting man, I’m not, but this is a game we should win, and absolutely need to. We need to clean up the turnovers. Our opponents have fumbled 20 times against us, 9 forced fumbles. OLB Bradley Chubb has 4 of them.We have 38 QB sacks on defense and have allowed only 18. That’s remarkable. We have the 3rd most sacks, behind the Bills (41) and the Ravens (47). On offense and sacks allowed, the Chiefs (referees) (14 sacks allowed) and the Bills (Josh Allen) (15 sacks sacks allowed) are the only teams better. We have 11 INT’s, Tua (10), and Mike White (1). We have fumbled 20 times, lost 12. We have one of the worst turnover differentials in the league at -5, we have 9 interceptions and 5 fumble recoveries for 14 takeaways, while on offense we have 11 interceptions and 9 fumbles lost for 19 turnovers. Tua and Mostert have bosh lost 3 fumbles, and I suppose we’re a bit lucky, because Tua has 10 fumbles this season. Both of these guys need to be more aware of ball security. If De’Von Achane can’t go this week, RB Jeff Wilson will share the lesser amount of carries with RB Raheem Mostert, as long as Mostert plays as expected.

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1,003 Responses to 2023 Season – Game 12 – Dolphins @ Commanders

  1. Krishna's avatar Krishna says:

    Thank you, Mike E. Nice summary at this point of the season.

  2. stangerx's avatar stangerx says:

    Nice article Mike E. It will play out as it does, but we have now been 9.5 point favorites on the road two weeks in a row. When’s the last time that (or more) happened? And you know the bookies just want to even out the money bet. Seems we have a lot of respect.

    • Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

      True, the Jets were a different story, they couldn’t get into the end zone with their starting QB, it was a lot to ask their 3rd string QB to put points on the board. Howell can play, it’s the Commanders defense that’s the big issue

  3. Tim Knight's avatar Tim Knight says:

    Nice write, Mike! Every game is any given Sunday but I feel this is a game we light it up.🙂

    • Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

      I feel pretty much the same. As long as we’re not sloppy with the football on offense, I think we handle them pretty well.

  4. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    Stanger – I love Achane, I just hope he stays on the field healthy for the rest of the season. That’s a huge issue, his ability to stay healthy and to play.

  5. Rockphin's avatar Rockphin says:

    “He was playing at a very high level, equal to the amount of hype he received before the season.”

    WHAT!!???

    I distinctly remember a certain owner of a certain helpful hand saying he had NOT lived up to the hype. It led to a silly circular discussion about pressures, hits and sacks. Of course I still have a penis, so I am obviously still wrong. ask any woman.

  6. Rockphin's avatar Rockphin says:

    Nice wrap up of our position MikeE.

    IMA not even going to point out your one typo…

  7. steveccnv's avatar steveccnv says:

    Armstead Eichenberg Williams Hunt and Jackson will be the best line we’ve had in quite a while

    • stangerx's avatar stangerx says:

      I’m happy to see Eich and Jackson stepping up. Took a while but looks like we are getting returns from the high draft picks.

  8. mf13ss's avatar mf13ss says:

    Good write per usual, Mike E!

    There’s only one thing: Sam Howell is not a rookie, it’s his second season.

    And something of note? Sam Howell leads the NFL in sacks taken this year with 55. It’s time for our Defense to FEAST again! 😀

    • Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

      Yes, good point M, I forgot he was drafted last year, although he only played in 1 game last year.

      • mf13ss's avatar mf13ss says:

        ALWAYS know, I’m not critiquing your writing… which I always enjoy because it really is good! 🙂

        If you make a mistake, my intention in bringing up as much is for your benefit… certainly not for my benefit. You can always go back and fix an error, but if nobody pointed out an error to begin with, you will be left with the error.

        I truthfully enjoy when somebody points out a mistake I make, granted it’s not in a cynical way or fashion to undermine me. I come from the heart, trying to do my part to make you the best YOU possible.

        Believe that… for it would be far easier for me to say nothing and allow the masses who read your work (not just us here at the F-MU) to judge you for your error.

        RESPECT to you, my Brother Mike E! 🙂

  9. mf13ss's avatar mf13ss says:

    I’d forgotten Sam Howell came from North Carolina. So between Mitch Trubisky, Sam Howell, and the soon-to-be first-round draft pick Drake Maye… North Carolina has been churning out NFL QBs in recent years.

  10. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    Rock – Phillips was getting better in the last few games, he was really making a difference. He had 6 sacks in the last 5 games. That’s what everyone expected him to do. Not sure which part of my statement confused you

  11. herdfan's avatar herdfan says:

    Howie’s List
    Week 13
    🐬@ 👨🏻‍✈️

    🦬 35-13 🐬
    🌴 45-10 🐬
    🐷 56 – 17 🐬

  12. Rockphin's avatar Rockphin says:

    I am really having fun with this madden 24. I just crossed the Indianapolis Colts 56 to 10 in the AFC championship game to move onto the Super Bowl baby.! Lol
    The Dolphins are so good
    Tour Tao had 343 yards and four touchdowns with a 92.3% completion
    Our running game is insane even with the subpar blocking
    And our defense is incredible no one can run on us and if they throw the ball it’s a 50-50 shot every time lol

    What is best in life Rockphin ?

    To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentations of their women

  13. Rockphin's avatar Rockphin says:

    Howie’s List
    Week 13
    🐬@ 👨🏻‍✈️

    🦬 35-13 🐬
    🌴 45-10 🐬
    🐷 56 – 17 🐬
    🗿42-20 🐬
    ⚔️38-13

  14. Rockphin's avatar Rockphin says:

    Because this is an out of the conference game, I want us to maximize our points four and points against in this game. Those are tiebreakers as well. Just go ahead and check every box fuckers! Roll up 70 on them and don’t let them score.

  15. son of a son of a shula's avatar son of a son of a shula says:

    We suck on third down and we turn the ball over a lot. This game is on the road against Heckle and Jeckle if we come out of there at 17-14 I’ll be happy. This game scares me but I think Achane might be the difference if he can play like he did when he did. He’s to our offense what Ramsey is to our defense. Different.
    I can see us making this easy but not if we turn the ball over and play like crap on third down. I’d like to get on them and make them have to throw it all the time.

  16. son of a son of a shula's avatar son of a son of a shula says:

    Take the ball and throw that fucker as far as you can to Hill on first down and let’s roll.

    • Tim Knight's avatar Tim Knight says:

      I see us establishing the run game and striking down the field multiple times. I do like how we attack both horizontally and vertically. Make defenders run a lot early and often.

  17. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    Flacco to start vs Rams

  18. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    Chris Brooks is designated for return from IR

  19. Tim Knight's avatar Tim Knight says:

    I feel like we’re headed for another 9 yards vs. 1 yard debate.

  20. son of a son of a shula's avatar son of a son of a shula says:

    Ken, wow I didn’t know that 11-16 that is really good so the five they missed is what I’m talking about lol
    It felt like we struggled obviously it was fine

    • Ken's avatar Ken says:

      The most notable was the first drive where we turned it over on downs inside the 5. But after that we were great on 3rd down. After that we were great on 3rd down

  21. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Free-agent TE Zach Ertz cleared waivers, NFL Network Insiders Ian Rapoport and Mike Garafolo reported, per sources.

  22. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    CB Emmanuel Forbes Jr. (elbow) is expected to return sometime this season, per head coach Ron Rivera. Forbes has been ruled out for Sunday’s game.

  23. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    I’m not sure how much of a blocker Ertz is. He was mostly a pass catcher from what I remember. He is a vet with SB experience. IMO, he would be an upgrade over Kroft and who knows what he could contribute once he would learn the O. We do have Claypool, so there’s that. We don’t need a red zone TE with Claypool on the roster.

  24. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    I wonder what OL will be active for the game with 4 of them questionable.

  25. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Thought Oregon was going to pull off the upset last night.

    Hope Alabama loses today.

  26. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    That didn’t take long for Texas.

  27. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Quinn Ewers is on fire today.

  28. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    Kroft is a good blocker

    • CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

      And we definitely prioritize blocking from the TE position.

    • bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

      Yes he is a stout blocker but, like Sheehan was, he is slower to get to his assignment when pulling. I am sure that is why the rookie Julian Hill beat him out as the #2 TE. Ertz still plays with quickness. That is the only reason I thought he would be an upgrade over Kroft. Though, I just don’t know how well Ertz is as an inline blocker.

  29. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Damn, gonna have to stream the game tomorrow. Got Broncos/Texans and Lions/Saints in my area.

    https://www.profootballnetwork.com/nfl-coverage-map-week-13-info-2023/

  30. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    We brought Tanner Conner up from PS but that’s his 3rd, so we have to keep him on the 53, or he can’t come back up.
    I think that’s the rule.
    Wondering if this is in any way related to Ertz since it’s unlikely he could sign today and play tomorrow.

  31. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Blog is slow. I guess you all were waiting on this. 🙂

    A little trade down action:

    34. Sedrick Van Pran OC Georgia
    59. Graham Barton OT Duke
    71. Patrick Paul OT Houston
    155. Curtis Jacobs LB Penn State
    165. DeWayne Carter DT Duke
    186. Ainias Smith WR Texas A&M
    201. Jaylen Wright RB Tennessee
    217. Xavier Watts S Notre Dame

  32. Tim Knight's avatar Tim Knight says:

    Are we churning our TEs?

  33. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    We’ve depended on Smythe so much that he’s getting beat up.
    What if we go into the playoffs without Smythe?

  34. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    College playoff selection will be interesting.

  35. steveccnv's avatar steveccnv says:

    Anyone else tired of watching Stifler’s mother in commercials?

  36. steveccnv's avatar steveccnv says:

    GA up 7-0 backed up in their own end on 3rd and long Bowers drew a PI, that wasn’t called, changed the game

  37. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    steveccnv says:
    December 2, 2023 at 7:31 pm
    GA, Ala, Mich and OSU and the U75s will lose their mind
    ———
    They can’t leave out 13-0 #3 Washington. But yeah, no matter what people will be losing their minds.

    Can’t wait until they do away with the conference championships and expand the college playoffs to 12 teams next year.

  38. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    FSU game a snoozer. They need Trey Benson to break one.

  39. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    Mike – count me in as a violent hater of the Jardiance commercial. You can ask my wife, I fucking hate that one!

  40. mf13ss's avatar mf13ss says:

    Howie’s List
    Week 13
    🐬@ 👨🏻‍✈️

    🦬 35-13 🐬
    🌴 45-10 🐬
    🐷 56 – 17 🐬
    🗿42-20 🐬
    ⚔️38-13 🐬
    🏈 44-10 🐬

  41. mf13ss's avatar mf13ss says:

    By the way, last week I predicted a final score of 37-13 against the stej. SO CLOSE with a final score of 34-13!!!

  42. mf13ss's avatar mf13ss says:

    bailbondmike says:
    December 2, 2023 at 10:35 am
    CB Emmanuel Forbes Jr. (elbow) is expected to return sometime this season, per head coach Ron Rivera. Forbes has been ruled out for Sunday’s game.
    ———-
    Forbes has had an absolutely horrific rookie season in the antiquated Del Rio Defense and that’s a shame. Now that Del Rio is gone, we’ll see how he responds next season. I still have a lot of faith in Forbes, just hope he can shake off the poor rookie experience.

    • mf13ss's avatar mf13ss says:

      I can say with utmost certainty that Forbes was drafted into the WRONG Defensive system… he gets a mulligan. And I think Riverboat Rivera is lucky he hasn’t been fired already.

  43. boulderfinfan's avatar boulderfinfan says:

    Nice write Mike. It’s so exciting to be Divion leader and have a chance at home field.

  44. steveccnv's avatar steveccnv says:

    Fins -9

    When was the last time we had those road odds?

  45. steveccnv's avatar steveccnv says:

    3 unbeatens and Bama

  46. steveccnv's avatar steveccnv says:

    Howie’s List
    Week 13
    🐬@ 👨🏻‍✈️

    🦬 35-13 🐬
    🌴 45-10 🐬
    🐷 56 – 17 🐬
    🗿42-20 🐬
    ⚔️38-13 🐬
    🏈 44-10 🐬
    🎰 50-10🐬

    50 burger puts us 1 pt ahead of Cowboys

  47. ukfinfan's avatar ukfinfan says:

    Howie’s List
    Week 13
    🐬@ 👨🏻‍✈️

    🦬 35-13 🐬
    🌴 45-10 🐬
    🐷 56 – 17 🐬
    🗿42-20 🐬
    ⚔️38-13 🐬
    🏈 44-10 🐬
    🎰 50-10🐬
    🇬🇧 34-16 🐬

  48. Rockphin's avatar Rockphin says:

    IT’S GAME DAY BITCHES!!!
    GO DOLPHINS!!

  49. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Let’s go!!!!!! I’m going to the game today- 45 yard line, 26 rows up behind the Washington bench. Aqua and orange vest !

  50. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Miami Dolphins
    2023 · 8-3-0
    INJURIES

    RB Chris Brooks (knee) was downgraded to out for Sunday’s game versus the Commanders.

    GAME-DAY ELEVATIONS

    TE Tanner Conner

  51. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Looks like the rain has moved out of the DC area but field conditions will be wet. Will need to have good ball security Mostert. He has had quite a few fumbles this year. Not all lost though.

  52. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Chiefs at Packers might be a game in the snow tonight if it lasts that long.

  53. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    There is a decent amount of Dolphins fans in the parking lot

  54. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Howie’s List
    Week 13
    🐬@ 👨🏻‍✈️

    🦬 35-13 🐬
    🌴 45-10 🐬
    🐷 56 – 17 🐬
    🗿42-20 🐬
    ⚔️38-13 🐬
    🏈 44-10 🐬
    🎰 50-10🐬
    🇬🇧 34-16 🐬
    🇨🇦 41-13 🐬

  55. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Have Fun Brian 👍👍🐬🐬

  56. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Thanks guys

  57. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Seems like a ton of dolphins fans

  58. herdfan's avatar herdfan says:

    What am I doing wrong posting links?

    I want it to show the actual post, not the URL. 🤬

  59. ukfinfan's avatar ukfinfan says:

    Rock – from the last blog – how can you not have heard this poetry?

    You’re a bum
    You’re a punk
    You’re an old slut on junk
    Lying there almost dead on a drip in that bed
    You scumbag, you maggot
    You cheap lousy faggot
    Happy Christmas your arse
    I pray God it’s our last

    Have you been hiding under your namesake?

  60. ukfinfan's avatar ukfinfan says:

    Experiment on behalf of Herd

  61. pheloniusphish's avatar pheloniusphish says:

    Depends on what kind of link it is. YouTube, X, gifs and jpegs will show up as the post. Articles won’t.

  62. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Lamm at LT

  63. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Herd, when you post a twitter link, try adding some text to your comment and see if that does it.

  64. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Have fun at the game and get us a win, Brian!

  65. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Is that fog ??

  66. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    He’s so out of bounds

  67. ukfinfan's avatar ukfinfan says:

    Another wasted challenge. His genius truly borders on madness

  68. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    BS he was out by about 1 yard

  69. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    The ambiguity of what a catch is in the NFL continues to plague the game

    • ukfinfan's avatar ukfinfan says:

      Couldn’t agree more. One thing you can bet your house on though us they’ll never overturn a challenge unless it’s absolutely blatant or the ref has a bet on the outcome

  70. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Pressure did that 😉

  71. ukfinfan's avatar ukfinfan says:

    Wow. Let’s go Dolphins v loud

  72. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    The broadcast team showed it one time and told us all it was tough to overturn….lol

  73. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Woot woot

  74. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Goodbye

  75. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    YESSSSSSSS!!

  76. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Tua’s a fucking assassin on 3rd down

  77. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    That was nice

  78. ukfinfan's avatar ukfinfan says:

    Hill is a m a z I n g

  79. son of a son of a shula's avatar son of a son of a shula says:

    Boom 💥

  80. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    I missed the start of the game. Jones is playing for Holland who is OUT?

  81. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Not your AVG guy 👍👍

  82. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    Eat him up!!!!

  83. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Pressure created the sack 😉

  84. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    The tackle looked like a deer in headlights after that spin move

  85. son of a son of a shula's avatar son of a son of a shula says:

    AVG

  86. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Couldn’t ask for a better start.

  87. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    Yikes, Waddle could have been blown up

  88. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    What a beautiful pass

  89. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Can they move that annoying lady’s seat so she isn’t next to the microphone

    • ukfinfan's avatar ukfinfan says:

      That is not a lady – that is a wailing banshee. Brian – if you are reading us, name your price to take her out. Hopefully her voice goes very soon. But I get the feeling she makes that horrendous noise often

  90. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Is Sanders back?

  91. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    Thanks 🐷, 🌞

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