2023 Season – Game 16 – Dolphins @ Ravens

December football can lead to epic matchups, and we most definitely have one here as the Dolphins travel to Baltimore to play the AFC leading (12-3) Baltimore Ravens. The last time we played the Ravens in Baltimore was that wild 4th quarter comeback win, generated by QB Tua Tagovailoa in which the Dolphins scored 28 4th quarter points to knock off the Ravens 42-38. The Dolphins were down 35-14 to begin the 4th quarter. After the game, pundits and commentators alike made excuses for the Ravens who had an injury riddled secondary. I never hear those same excuses and concessions when we’re playing without 4/5 of our starting Offensive Line, but so be it.

This is a very difficult game to predict, but I don’t think the scoring total goes anywhere near last year’s wild shootout. While the Dolphins defense overall has allowed 20.9 points per game, over the last 8 games the Dolphins defense has been better, allowing only 15.8 points per game. Conversely, the Ravens defense overall is allowing only 16.3 points per game, but over the last 8 games, the Ravens have allowed 18.3 points per game. I think our defense has often been the better unit. While our offense overall has scored 30.9 points per game, we’re scoring 27.8 points per game over the last 8 games. Defense wins championships, and we’re going to need to rely on our defense to beat the Ravens. 

We all know we have injuries littering our roster, but despite playing with 4 different O-line starters, we’re still getting it done. RG Robert Hunt’s status is still up in the air. WR Jaylen Waddle is OUT, which means there will probably be a combination of Robbie Chosen, Chase Claypool, Cedrick Wilson and Braxton Berrios to replace Waddle. Wilson has been getting a fair amount of targets in the last few games, but I think the run game will be the key for us. The Ravens have allowed 1551 yards rushing, while our defense is more stingy at 1362 yards. We’re going to have 4 RB’s active, Mostert, Achane, Wilson and Brooks plus FB Alec Ingold. Like I’ve mentioned on the blog, I don’t really have a good idea of how this game will play out, but I won’t be surprised if it’s a lower scoring game, both teams under 30 points each, and that we run the ball a fair amount, more than we throw.

I’m amazed at how good the O-line has been considering we’re playing without our starting LG Isaiah Wynn (IR), starting OC (Connor Williams (IR), starting RG Robert Hunt (QUESTIONABLE), and starting RT Austin Jackson (QUESTIONABLE). OG Lester Cotton filled in admirably, as did OG Robert Jones who played his best game of the season at RG. Liam Eichenberg has quietly become a very valuable player, perhaps becoming our future OC. What an amazing turnaround for Eichenberg who was drafted as an OT/G, failed at both positions early on in his career, but played better at OG this season as it went on, and now is succeeding at playing C after starter Connor Williams went down for the season in Game 9 against the Chargers. Besides Eichenberg, both swing tackles have been invaluable, Kendall Lamm who played RT with starter Austin Jackson out and Kion Smith who stepped in played LT plenty of times to replace oft injured LT Terron Armstead. To Armstead’s credit, he plays through injuries and has done his best to stay on the field despite his body failing him.

I think we all know this game is a huge one, I look at this as playoff game #1. December, which has annually been a time this team has fallen out of contention is different this year with our Dolphins at 3-1 in December in 2023. The Ravens being the #1 seed in the AFC couldn’t be tougher team to face, especially in their house. QB Lamar Jackson is a game changer, the most talented, most dangerous guy on the field. In my opinion, as he goes, the Ravens go. This is not so with the Miami Dolphins. Tua can have an average day and the Dolphins can win, but the Ravens live and die with Lamar Jackson. Jackson doesn’t turn the ball over much at all with a 1.6 INT %, less than our own careful QB Tua Tagovailoa at 2.0%. Jackson has thrown 19 TD’s against only 7 INT’s. The big difference though is Lamar Jackson who also has 786 yards rushing and 5 rushing TD’s. For reference, Jackson leads the Ravens in rushing yards ahead of their 2nd leading rusher big back Gus Edwards with 694 yards. Edwards is the big goal line threat though with 12 rushing TD’s. It’s a difficult task to control Lamar Jackson, when the pass rush is too aggressive and unsuccessful, he can feast through the air or escape and pick up huge chunks of yards. I think it’s paramount that we stop Gus Edwards. They no longer have their version of De’Von Achane in RB Keaton Mitchell, who tore his ACL and is out for the season. Contain the run game, and when you get your hands on Lamar Jackson, take him down, or else! Easier said than done!

I think all our backs, even seldom used RB Chris Brooks may get some action today. With Waddle OUT, I’m not sure we have a WR that’s going to step up and replace him adequately. The O-line has been run blocking well, and I think that’s how we’re going to roll Sunday afternoon. NFL playoff games are usually close to the vest affairs, I expect that to be the case for this game. Once again, the Ravens run defense isn’t their strength, their pass rush is. Quick passing of course offsets a strong pass rush, and that’s how our offense is designed and how our QB Tua Tagovailoa is most comfortable operating. Make him hold the ball, and we’ve seen some ugly. Running effectively opens up the pass game so we need to run the ball well. I look forward to watching this game, I think we’re up to the task, I don’t feel like this game or team is too much for us. I look forward to our team putting an exclamation on this season by taking down the big and bad Ravens in their house. 

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622 Responses to 2023 Season – Game 16 – Dolphins @ Ravens

  1. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    We really need to figure out why Fangio’s defense collapses like this sometimes.

  2. Tim Knight's avatar Tim Knight says:

    This next possession will say a lot about the psyche of our team.

  3. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    The Ravens have a ton of injuries as well. If this is the way we play against good teams when we have injuries, then we will be out in the first round again. You have to find a way, if not, then this happens.

  4. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    Why can’t we get better return game yardage?
    and
    Why do we give up so many long returns in the kicking game?

  5. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Yes, we are getting outplayed. But we are also making mistakes on offense and countless on defense that is causing that.

  6. New Age's avatar New Age says:

    Shitty game. The difference between us and real contenders is glaring…and yes, the Cowboys are not real contenders. To think that we were only down by 1 with 3 minutes left and found a way to lose the game by halftime is beyond frustrating. At what point does this team figure it out? MM still doing the same stupid shit. Tua still throws bad ints. Grier still finds the most injury prone dudes for our team.

    As we overpay for injury prone dudes like X and Armstead, and projects like Chosen, Apple, and Claypool, we still haven’t addressed consistent players like Wilkins, Tua, and AVG. Guys who continue to produce while the other dudes don’t. That needs to change.

    • Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

      We aren’t real contenders. We will lose next week, and go into the playoffs having beaten ZERO AFC playoff teams. That’s not good for the old confidence thing…

    • Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

      So we drafted CB Cam Smith and that fucker can’t stay healthy enough to see the field. Seems as if we will be drafting a CB early in again

  7. Randy's avatar Randy says:

    Unfortunately I drank the last of my Grey Goose last night. @*%&@#&*%&#

  8. Tim Knight's avatar Tim Knight says:

    The Ravens are a really good team. It’s as if we must be the best team or we suck. I’m still enjoying the ride.🙂

  9. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    I hate the way Harbaugh seems to be teaching the refs and they seem to be so respectful to his whining

  10. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    coverage sack
    false start
    wheels coming off

  11. Randy's avatar Randy says:

    Down by 22 and you throw the ball behind the LOS on a 3rd and long? Can you say: “Give up”? Loser mentality.

  12. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    Hopefully we can get healthy for next week and throw Buffalo a fuckin beatin!

  13. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    Only the putrid jest have started more different combinations on the OL than we have.
    Can’t start 3 subs on the line against the best team in the league and do well.

  14. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    I told y’all after the Titans loss we would be playing for the conference championship vs Bills in week 18.

    I was referred to as a negative nelly. I was just calling it the way I saw it panning out.

    Hate that I was right.

  15. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Top teams find a way to pick up the slack. The Ravens defense is struggling against our offense, their injuries probably contribute to that, or maybe we outplayed them for a bit.

    But they still made a big INT that helped them take control of this game. They still are making some stops.

    And they get a big special teams return. And their stars make big plays to get TDs.

    Our stars dropped a TD and threw a stupid pick. Our special teams just gave up a big return.

    The Ravens have made very few mistakes, and have overcome mistakes when they do make them. They overcame a penalty and converted a 3rd and 16 to score on their 1st drive otherwise we might have taken a 2 TD lead early in this game. And who know what happens next? But it didn’t play out that way because they overcame.

    We’ve made a ton of mistakes and haven’t played well. I don’t get why we need to make excuses for poor play. What a good team does is play well in spite of injuries and if you lose, then you excuse it. We shouldn’t excuse playing one good quarter on offense, then getting blown up in all phases and losing by what will likely be 40.

    And if you’re ok continually getting blown out in big games, more power to you.

  16. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    We can’t cover shit underneath

  17. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    We need bigger inside linebackers.

  18. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    3rd and 10 and you can’t get off the field that has been the problem

  19. Tim Knight's avatar Tim Knight says:

    The Ravens circled Riley as a target. They’ve been doing it all day.

  20. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    Sieler makes the play.

  21. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Well that’s shit

  22. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    Ok, now we’re choking. 🤣

  23. Tim Knight's avatar Tim Knight says:

    😩

  24. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    And it continues

  25. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Man. Fucking Tua gives it right back. We’ve just seen this too many times.

  26. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Way to force the fucking ball when the defense just gave it back to you, dumb ass

  27. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    That INT is just plain lazy as shit.

  28. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Just in case anyone missed it above.

    The Ravens have only faced FOUR 3rd down plays today.

    Our defense has only gotten it to 3rd down FOUR times today. That is pure garbage.

  29. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Not a good game today but I am not down on this team. We have never beaten 2 10 win teams in back to back games in our history. It is a tall order. We are still a good team but tip of the cap to the Ravens they are an excellent team

    • CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

      My goal this year has always been to make the playoffs and win a game. We’ve already made the playoffs, so it’s still on the table depending on who we draw in the 1st rd.

  30. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Here’s the thing: yes, we have injuries- every team does. But if we can’t beat good teams with our injuries then we may as well as pack it in now, because all we have left are good teams.

  31. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    GARBAGE in all 3 phases of the game.

  32. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    I knew this game was going to be bad.

    My wife and I always do kind of a date night Fondue at home on New Years Eve. We decided to do it yesterday because I told her I didn’t want to be all pissy for our date night after we get blown out against the Ravens, lol.

  33. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Did someone run the wrong route? Why were Chosen and Hill in the same area?

  34. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Another D stop. What’s the over/under on number of passes before Tua throws another INT?

  35. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    I told her I didn’t want to be all pissy for our date night after we get blown out against the Ravens, lol.
    —————
    I had no choice having to work last night. Will be drowning sorrows tonight.

  36. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    We could still make this a game. Show us something

  37. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    The most important thing now is to come away with no more injuries. I expect us to be better next week.

  38. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Ummmmm. How was that not pass interference?

  39. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Ravens are getting banged up but will have 3 weeks to get healthy.

  40. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    And there goes our backup center.

  41. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    CAV, why did you say that???????????

  42. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Pats miss a FG. Still down 27-14

  43. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Tua slid REALLY early there. I’m glad

  44. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Wilson has put together a nice game

  45. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Eich already back in. That’s good news

  46. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Tried to make something happen. Should have just cut it up when he had the chance.

  47. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Come on Claypool. Wtf

  48. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Ah man, Claypool had a chance to do something.

  49. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Two dropped TD passes today

  50. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    2 dropped TDs in one game

  51. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    2 dropped TDs today

  52. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Beers 🍻 all around

  53. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Last year
    35-14 going into the 4th

    This year
    35-13 going into the 4th

    We have them right where we want them, LOL

  54. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Should be 35-24 right now

  55. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Well, we got it anyway

  56. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Achane with hops

  57. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Now let’s fucking go defense

  58. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Now a dropped 2 point conversion

  59. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Don’t like going for 2 on the front end

  60. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    I wish we would have gone for the extra point. Go for two when you need it. Take the point.

  61. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Pats scored. 27-21 Bills lead

  62. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Are we all idiots, or is it just the coach?

  63. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    not too sad about going for it now to take the pressure off having to do it late,
    but wonder about going to a touch fade to the blocking TE,
    a rookie from Campbell College who hasn’t caught many passes this year.
    The throw was perfect.

  64. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    I never agree with going for 2 in those situations, but it seems like we, and every other HC does it anyway

  65. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Jackson has an ESPN passer rating of 158.3 right now.

  66. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Same old D

  67. Tim Knight's avatar Tim Knight says:

    We can’t stop their offense.😥

  68. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Well, that’ll do it.

  69. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Ravens have still only faced five 3rd downs. It’s unreal how easily they have shredded our defense.

  70. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Given up 139 yards rushing and 317 passing so far

  71. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    no DE or OLB setting the edge.
    That’s on Fangio as much as any player.

  72. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Just continually wide open

  73. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Wow! You’re telling me a Ravens Receiver was wide open? Nooooooo. Even the fucking FB is wide open today.

  74. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    I’d really consider firing Fangio.
    I haven’t seen great D coaching.
    We have a lot of great players on D,
    but they are often in bad positions.

  75. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Pats with the ball back on their own 3 yard line down 27-21 with 6:41 left.

    This better not be a dick tease.

  76. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Oh well, hopefully we play better next week or we’ll get blown out in that game too.

    Maybe we’ll get lucky and back into the division title with a Buffalo loss today.

  77. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    Like,
    what was our game plan on D?
    We seem to just be running along with guys.
    We don’t seem to be trying to take away any one thing
    or do anything proactive on our part.

    I’d rather see us run the amoeba than this shit.
    At least cover zero made Lamar think, which is is worst trait.

  78. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    We lose next week, we will be on the road playing in Buffalo as a WC.

  79. ElephantRider's avatar ElephantRider says:

    Repeat
    Limp into playoffs, get blown out
    Worst part will be watching the Bills win the division.
    Tired….

  80. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    I’m kind of surprised how small a factor Berrios has been this year in the passing game. Today would have been a good game for him to put up some numbers, but Wilson seems to be the guy who gets those targets when Waddle or Hill are out.

  81. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    too cute on offense again

  82. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    That wasn’t offside?!

  83. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Would have been better to sling it deep

  84. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Smart play Tua. Run it on 4 th and 13

  85. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Tua slid and still got hurt

  86. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    Ravens stupid for keeping bridgewater in there

  87. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Bills about to put their game away. Patriots put up a good fight on the road in a game they were really overmatched.

  88. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    and Buffalo got the ball in Pats territory. Bills going to win. It’s put up or shut up next week.

    All these great numbers we put up this season won’t mean shit if they don’t win next week.

  89. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Someone mentioned it earlier, wonder if Holland coming back hurt more than it helped with communication in the secondary. Even if it did, we needed to get him back up to speed.

  90. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Maybe them getting humiliated will be a blessing.

  91. Brian in NY's avatar Brian in NY says:

    That was the perfect way to end that short drive. Microcosm of the entire game.

  92. New Age's avatar New Age says:

    This team just plays small in big games. It starts with leadership and goes all the way down.

  93. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Even now just running out the clock the Ravens have only faced six 3rd downs today.

    Our defense was so bad

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