Week 17 – Dolphins @ Bills

The last week of the 2020 NFL Regular season is upon us, and no matter what the outcome of our game versus the Buffalo Bills is, I’m thankful for our Dolphins for giving us a great season. Whether we win or lose, make the playoffs or don’t make the playoffs, I think I’d be hard pressed to find a Dolphins fan that feels that this 2020 team didn’t exceed their expectations. This team had a bumpy start but once we got rolling, we have been an ultra competitive team. Our worst loss was the first game of the season against the Patriots losing by 10 points. Since then, our loss to the Seahawks in Week 4 was our 2nd worst losing by 8. Our seasons point differential is +96. We are the #1 scoring defense (points allowed) at 18.8 in the NFL. If I told any of you we’d be traveling to Buffalo Week 17 with a 10-5 record as the #5 seed in the AFC, there’s not one of you who wouldn’t be thrilled with those circumstances.

I’m not going to bore with you with last week’s theatrics, we won a game we had no business winning but we did win, and now we live to fight another day. Coach Brian Flores has already decided that Tua Tagovailoa is the starter. Is this decision made for this week or for the future as well? I’d say in some ways it’s probably both, but I also believe that Flores believes Tua is his best QB. I don’t think Flores is a puppet and no one is pulling his strings. He’s making the personnel decisions and he’s declared Tua is the QB. Once again, I mean absolutely no disrespect to QB Ryan Fitzpatrick but there is a fine line between Fitzmagic and Fitztragic. He’s a gambler, and as everyone knows, sometimes ya win and sometimes ya lose. I’m going to enlighten some of you here, so be prepared. Over Ryan Fitzpatrick’s career, his TD% is 4.4 and his INT% is 3.3. Tua Tagovailoa in his short career has a TD% of 4.3 and an INT% of 0.9%. This doesn’t tell the entire story, and there are many metrics to look at, but I think Flores wants a player that’s careful with the football, and Tua Tagovailoa is that guy. That doesn’t mean he couldn’t be better, he can, and hopefully Sunday he will be.

The Bills are 12-3 for a reason. The best teams in the NFL score points, and the Bills are the 4th best scoring offense at 29.7 PPG. Their passing offense is #2 in the NFL throwing for 4,398 yards. Josh Allen is having a monster year, completing 69.1 % of his passes with 4,320 yards with 34 TD’s and just 9 INT’s. The Bills defense is stingier giving up yards than our Dolphins as they are ranked at the #10 defense in the NFL but they are allowing nearly a TD more per game than our defense. Their rushing attack is on par with our own rushing attack and they have used a 1-2 punch with Devin Singletary and Zack Moss. They are 19th in the league rushing and we are 22nd. The problem is their rushing attack doesn’t stop with these 2. QB Josh Allen is a legitimate weapon with over 4oo yards rushing and 8 rushing TD’s. When they’re in the red zone, you have to account for the QB running as well.

On the injury front, we know that LB Elandon Roberts is OUT along with Jakeem Grant. Practicing on a limited basis were WR DeVante Parker, OL Solomon Kindley and S Bobby McCain. McCain is not a threat to miss the game. Both TE Mike Gesicki and G Ereck Flowers were both FULL participants. That’s good news. I think Elandon Roberts is done for the season and that’s unfortunate. He wouldn’t be getting as many snaps this week anyway because the Bills throw the ball more. Can we talk about a Dolphins defender who gets very little ink in NFL circles? #55, Jerome Baker is having a great season. He leads the Dolphins with 108 tackles, he has 11 QB hits, 7 tackles for a loss along with 7 sacks and 2 forced fumbles. This really is a no-name defense, with the exception of X who is known league wide. So many contributors including lesser known Zach Sieler, Elandon Roberts, Eric Rowe, Andrew Van Ginkel, rookie Raekwon Davis, Christian Wilkins, Nik Needham and a guy who leads the Dolphins in sacks, Emmanuel Ogbah. Hope Ogbah can be the first Dolphins defender since Cam Wake to have double digit sacks with a great game against the Bills. We need to take Josh Allen down! Hopefully Shaq Lawson can make it for this game, although AVG certainly made his presence felt.

In summation, I think it’s important to have the right perspective. The Dolphins are a team on the rise, no question about it. We have built a team so quickly it’s shocking. We are set up to have another strong draft and a top 5 draft pick which currently stands at #3. Once again we have TWO 1st RD picks and TWO 2nd RD picks, most likely 4 in the top 60. We also have a fair amount of cap space ($32M) as well to fill in Free Agency. The future looks so much brighter than we could have imagined. I didn’t expect us to be at 10-5 going into the last week of the NFL season. I didn’t expect our team to be this good, this fast. Whatever happens this weekend, the future is bright my friends, enjoy it!

GO DOLPHINS!!!!

Happy New Year!!

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869 Responses to Week 17 – Dolphins @ Bills

  1. son of a son of a shula's avatar son of a son of a shula says:

    RIP Floyd Little and Phil Niekro recently

  2. olddolphan's avatar olddolphan says:

    CARRY-OVER from prior page:
    HOWIE’s List;
    OD 20-17 Mia
    Pigs 35-17 Mia

  3. olddolphan's avatar olddolphan says:

    ANOTHER CARRY-OVER:
    ATTENTION HERD !!!!
    Mrs. OD is ALREADY doing her first load of LAUNDRY !!!

  4. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Olave looks like he can crate the separation we need

    • bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

      Piggy, he is good. I don’t think he will wow you with speed but what sets him apart is he is right up there with Smith and Waddle in his route running. One of the top in that regard. I think he will be a mid-second rounder right along side you other guy St. Brown,

      • The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

        I would be very happy if we landed St Brown and Olave in the 2nd round

        I like waddle, smith and chase
        But I do think we can spend our first rounders on other positions and then double down in the 2nd

        Throw Toney and Marshall in that group of potential 2nd round WRs – I expect a good group to pick from

  5. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    My feeling is if we come out playing hard like we want it, and keep up that intensity all through the first half, the Bills will relent and pull their starters and we’ll win this one and get ourselves a well earned playoff berth

    • Rockphin's avatar Rockphin says:

      I hope so MIke. I am feeling queasy about the game today. If we score first today, after choosing to kick then I will feel better.

      I am not posting a prediction today on Howie’s List. I feel that Buff has the much better QB.

  6. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    D, you have me thinking. If we did draft TE Pitts, with his freak abilities, it would allow us to keep 4 TE’s and just 5 WR’s if we wanted to go that route. I do see Pitts as a luxury pick which, at this point, we could afford to do and not hurt our draft so I did a mock with that in mind.
    3. Kyle Pitts TE, Florida
    23. Najee Harris RB, Alabama
    35. Kadarius Toney WR, Florida
    55. Landon Dickerson IOL, Alabama
    86. Christian Barmore IDL, Alabama
    124. Caden Sterns S, Texas
    194. Patrick Johnson EDGE, Tulane
    204. Marquez Stevenson WR, Houston
    252. Pooka Williams RB, Kansas
    Yes, I know Barmore will get taken earlier so insert Slaton.

    I still like mine with DeVonta Smith, lol

  7. Rockphin's avatar Rockphin says:

    Brian Flores:
    “We’re not worried about the weather, we’ve got bigger worries with Allen and Diggs….If we are worried about the weather at this point we are in trouble. “

  8. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    Rock, BUF has the better QB up until now, but . . .

  9. Rockphin's avatar Rockphin says:

    But what?! Come on man, don’t leave me hanging!? We gonna draft a better one?
    😉

  10. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Looks like we have Parker, Lawson and Kindley

  11. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

  12. Rockphin's avatar Rockphin says:

    Mack Hollands is the MVP of last week IMO. He threw TWO critical blocks on Gaskin’s TD run and caught that blindly thrown duck from Fitz. (great throw for what it was, being placed blindly in that spot, but man it was a duck)

  13. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    D, looks like we are in the viewing area for the game!

  14. bailbondmike's avatar bailbondmike says:

    Fuck, just got a bond I have to do in the next county. Going to miss whole first half. I hate this job!

  15. olddolphan's avatar olddolphan says:

    ONLY TWO of youz guyz and galz makin’ a game score prediction??
    UNBELIEVABLE !!!

  16. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Time to get it done

  17. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    No wonder Parker is active today

  18. Tim Knight's avatar Tim Knight says:

    Go Phins!!!!

  19. son of a son of a shula's avatar son of a son of a shula says:

    Reid Sinnett is the backup QB today.
    Please play with confidence today Tua. This team needs you today.

  20. CavalierKong's avatar CavalierKong says:

    Time to separate the men from the Bills.

  21. olddolphan's avatar olddolphan says:

    WHAT’S THE MOST IMPORTANT, YET MOSTLY OVERLOOKED, FACTOR IN THIS GAME ???
    EASY ANSWER.
    BRIAN FLORES IS THE BEST HEAD COACH IN THE NFL RIGHT NOW!!
    20-17, MIAMI !!!!!

  22. Mike E.'s avatar Mike E. says:

    OD, can’t do predictions anymore. Call me superstitious

  23. Rockphin's avatar Rockphin says:

    DAMN!!! $10K per Yard Davante! Go and get it!

  24. son of a son of a shula's avatar son of a son of a shula says:

    Rudock is inactive.
    Bowden is probably the real backup.

  25. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Hulk getting nervous no used to meaningful football in week 17

  26. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Let’s git Er Dun

  27. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    White is also out for Bills. 👍

  28. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Left Ravens/Bengals with Dallas on quick flip previous, Center Fins/Bills, right Steelers/Browns

  29. twicethethe's avatar twicethethe says:

    Here we go…

  30. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Good luck to Mike E and ER in the FMU Finals today

  31. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Doesn’t look like crackstreams is working

  32. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    They started Allen to run the wildcat?

  33. herdfan's avatar herdfan says:

    CavalierKong says:
    January 3, 2021 at 12:39 pm (Edit)
    Time to separate the men from the Bills.

    Or in my case, the darks from the whites! That sounds really bad doesn’t it? Got the laundry started!

    Go Dolphins!

  34. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    RVG

  35. herdfan's avatar herdfan says:

    Having serious internet issues here today.

  36. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    We need middle pressure

  37. son of a son of a shula's avatar son of a son of a shula says:

    Van Ginkled

  38. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    RIP

  39. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    I think this is a pick

  40. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    That is an int

  41. son of a son of a shula's avatar son of a son of a shula says:

    That’s a pick

  42. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Giants TD

  43. twicethethe's avatar twicethethe says:

    Then second toe dragged – should be an INT

  44. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Woot woot

  45. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Game streak with TO intact

  46. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Wohoo – interception

  47. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Jones finally earned his contract

  48. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Td Browns BOOOOO

  49. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Browns just scored

  50. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Ravens 7 min drive limited to FG

  51. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Ken

    Jones has been great all year

    • Ken's avatar Ken says:

      I think he has been disappointing. He has given up some big plays.

      • The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

        He doesn’t make big plays, he’s shuts down receivers

        I don’t even think it’s close – he’s played exceptional all year

        One of the best CBs in the league
        The reason QBs keep throwing at X is Bc they are avoiding him

      • Ken's avatar Ken says:

        Algholor repeatedly schooled him last week and we are not talking about an elite WR

  52. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Tee Higgins looks like he blew a hammyv

  53. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    That 2nd down snap

    Ughhh

  54. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    🙌

  55. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    How does Edmunds go untouched?

  56. New Age's avatar New Age says:

    Some terrible blocking today. Sewell’s the name, right?

  57. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    Hunt with a rookie mistake.

  58. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    Defense forced a worthless timeout.

  59. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    6-3 Giants

  60. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Fuck TD Ravens

  61. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    And a punt

  62. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Having a difficult time with streaming today

  63. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Piggy:
    Don’t get me wrong Jones is a good CB but he is not worth the money he is paid. He is not the best CB in football and he is not the best on this team

    • The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

      I think you are dead wrong about him
      He’s one of the reasons we have been successful this year on defense

      If you have a solid cover corner like that it frees you up for so much up front

  64. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Parker is going to lose money with efforts like that

  65. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Not a great punt

  66. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    Haack with a cold ball punt.

  67. twicethethe's avatar twicethethe says:

    Lots not to like on that series (including the punt)

  68. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Not a good punt

    Wtf

  69. herdfan's avatar herdfan says:

    Defensive score would be great right now.

  70. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Impressive defense so far today
    Especially on 3rd down

  71. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Well that punt sux

  72. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Why do they get the good punts?

    🐖💨

  73. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    Yikes Perry lacks experience back there.

  74. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Grind em out drive coming

  75. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    What kind of play call is that

  76. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Have we drafted the new OC yet ?

  77. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    Terrible play calling

  78. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Bengals INT take over a midfield

  79. stangerx's avatar stangerx says:

    I’m getting the sense that the bills will start to rest people. First up will be Josh Allen. Every hit on him is gonna make it happen sooner.

  80. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    What was a QB sneak supposed to accomplish?

  81. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    Ok so Allen has the record. The y should get him out now.

  82. sb7mvp's avatar sb7mvp says:

    Gailey needs to get his head out of his rump and call a game.

  83. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Crap

  84. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    That sucked

  85. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Browns 1st and goal

  86. naplesfan2010's avatar naplesfan2010 says:

    Tchit.

  87. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Held to FG 10-0 browns

  88. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Why is Diggs flossing ??

  89. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    That route looked familiar 🤔

  90. twicethethe's avatar twicethethe says:

    This offense is super anemic.

  91. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Gotta thrown it down field

    Lot of plays scripted that eliminate that possibility

  92. Rockphin's avatar Rockphin says:

    I do not feel better.

    Anyone have any Dramamine?

  93. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Nice throw in 3-11 by Rudolph for 1st

  94. sb7mvp's avatar sb7mvp says:

    Can we fire Gailey at halftime?

  95. New Age's avatar New Age says:

    They have to open up the field. If they believe in Tua, they have to let him sling it some. This offense is easy as hell to read.

  96. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    That play to Shaheen is a nice play design and was productive
    But everything we do plays like that we take opportunities for Tua to sit in the pocket and throw downfield away

    How many chances has he had to set his feet and throw it today?
    2 or 3?

  97. Ken's avatar Ken says:

    This is bad

  98. sb7mvp's avatar sb7mvp says:

    We need a defensive score to change this momentum.

  99. The Flying Pig's avatar The Flying Pig says:

    Thats a horrible call

    He’s not a QB

  100. manitobafinfan's avatar manitobafinfan says:

    Their WR giving themselves up quickly