Q – Hello Mike, The Miami Dolphins have won the last three matchups with the Patriots in Miami.
In those games Tom Brady did the following;
2015 – 12/21 (57%) 134yds 0 TD 0 Int
2014 – 29/56 (51.7%) 249yds 1 TD 0 Int
2013 – 34/55 (61.8%) 364yds 2 TD 1 Int
Which Tom Brady (who is just 50% in games played in Miami in his career) do you think will show up for this weeks game?
How realistic a shot do you think the Dolphins have of pulling off a win this weekend?
Will we get to see a Suh/Wake sandwich similar to the Bryce Petty sandwich we saw in the Jet’s game in NY this year?
I don’t expect his stat line to really match any of those. I’m pretty sure Brady will only play the 1st half, and possibly even less. He won’t be throwing the ball all that much, and why should he? LeGarrette Blount, James White, Dion Lewis and probably any other RB on the game day roster will probably be trying to take advantage of our porous rush defense. Brady will carve us up a little taking what the LB’s give (which is too much), but he’s not going to have a gaudy stat line. My guess is Brady will be something like 10-12, 105 yards and 1 TD 0 INT’s. No way will there be a sandwich, because every throw he makes will be within 2 seconds, and neither of our guys will get there that quickly, they will be held, I mean blocked.
Now, as far as whether we can win or not, that depends on how close we can keep it in the 1st half against their starters. I would think some of our starters may play nearly an entire game, especially the secondary guys, not sure if we will have enough bodies to pull everyone. I would like to win, but more than anything, I want to not look like we were just going through the motions, and even more importantly, I want everyone to be healthy. I won’t be surprised if we lose by about 5, something like 28-23.
Q – So How Bout them Dolphins!!!!!!!!!!
I need them to have the #5 Seed to go to the Game in Houston!
What do you think the odds are?
Don’t kill the messenger! Sorry Wyo, I don’t think it’s going to happen on a couple of fronts. First off, I don’t think the Chiefs are going to lose against San Diego. I also won’t be surprised if we come short against NE at home. I think it will be close, less than a TD, but I think the Patriots will win this one.
Now, regarding said Dolphins, they have given us much more than we expected, especially after starting out 1-4. What an amazing turnaround. It’s shocking really, and I’m not sure it has fully sunk in that we are a 10 win, possibly 11 win team that will be a worthy participant in the 2016 NFL Playoffs. WOW! I do hope I’m wrong on both counts, but I don’t think the Chargers can beat the Chiefs, especially if Melvin Gordon is held out due to injury. Also, maybe the Dolphins under Adam Gase don’t like losing, and find a way to beat the Patriots. I’m expecting the 2nd half to have a pretty different cast of characters for both teams, but maybe Gase wants to keep the good mojo going, and doesn’t quite subscribe to that. I think there may actually be something to that, and I won’t be surprised if that happens. Also, keep in mind the Patriots do not have home field sewn up yet as the Raiders could still get it if they win and the Patriots lose. I believe the Raiders would win a tiebreaker against common opponents, even though their records would be identical at 13-3 and conference records as well at 10-2
Q – Dr Mike will Tannehill play in the playoffs?
I’m going to stick with my original prediction made right after it happened, which was we will see Tannehill playing for us again this season. As of this writing, Tannehill is on a day-to-day basis, which is obviously better than a week-to-week basis. He’s not practicing as of yet, so there is no question that he will not play this week. I’m optimistic about him, I just think there’s some magic left for him. I think Tanny will begin practice next week, and will at least be in the conversation as to whether he plays or not. I think it’s possible that Moore still starts, but I won’t be surprised at all if Tannehill is active and is the 2nd QB for our playoff game. If Tanny is healthy enough to play, but isn’t as sharp as Moore, then I think the smart thing to do is stick with Moore, but it would be great to have Tanny available to go to rather than TJ Yates. Now, I hope Moore is good enough to get us through, because I wouldn’t want to rush Tanny back into action, but if we win, I really do believe that Tannehill will be ready for the next game, and then our young HC may have a tough decision on his hands in such a young career, but if Tanny is really ready, I think he’ll call on #17 to take us the rest of the way! I was right that he wasn’t done for the year, and I think I’m going to be right that he plays again for us. I hope it’s all for the good!
Q – MIKE: WHAT, in your opinion, is the #1 thing the Dolphins have to do to find success in the playoffs?
Regardless of who our QB is in the playoffs, we have to maintain a strong rushing attack. It’s not all on Ajayi either, we need the 5 guys up front to impose their will on the defense, and give Ajayi some creases to run through. He doesn’t even need a huge hole, because he runs so hard, a little contact isn’t bringing him down 9 out of 10 times. He just needs to enough room to get a little momentum going, and then he’s super dangerous. Once he’s through the line, he’s so hard to bring down. Most of his short runs are where he’s met at, or even behind the L.O.S., which understandably leads to busted run. Now this requires a healthy front 5, and a healthy Ajayi, as well as help from Drake and Williams. Add in TE’s Dion Sims and MarQueis Gray, as well as extra OL Sam Young. We need their blocking too.
Whether it’s Moore or Tannehill, they need to hit some big plays, and not turn the ball over. We’re doing very well staying ahead in the turnover battle, and I believe we need to continue in that fashion. On defense, and ST’s keep making that 1 or 2 big plays that change the game. I don’t think we’re good enough on offense or defense to have either unit completely break down.
I suspect we’ll still struggle some on defense against a strong running attack, and against a precision passing attack, but if we limit scoring as we have (bent but don’t break), we can win. I’m going to figure we’re going to be at Pittsburgh to face the Steelers at Heinz Field. Now normally, I’d say the Steelers would have a huge advantage in the cold, but i think our team can thrive in it as well. Of course, they’ll have their home crowd, but I think the climate won’t be a disadvantage to us as it may have been in the past.The way we play now, relying on our run game, we can take that anywhere (except maybe a really muddy field at the old OB) (Ask Freeman McNeil!!!) 🙂